GreyMatter

Talking About a Revolution

For most of my working life, I have been associated with some or the other form of Media or Communication.  For all of that time, I have also been passionate about Technology, following its explosive evolution from the erstwhile pre-Internet era to the now-ubiquitous Email and Google.  Naturally, I was pleased to come across these Internet and Mobile statistics on India from the very reliable – Emergic.org :

India’s Per Capita Income: $600 [Population: 1 billion]

PCs: 18 million; growing at 5 million/year

Internet users: 35 million; growth 50%/year

Cybercafes: 100,000; accounts for two-thirds of Internet access

Landlines: 45 million (declining slightly)

Broadband users: 1 million (most additions in 2005)

Broadband: $5 per month for 256 Kbps with 100 MB download

eCommerce: $250 million; growing at 100%

Online Advertising: $35 million; growing at 30%; 1.2% of total advertising spend

Mobiles: 75 million; growing at 4.5 million/month; 77% pre-paid; 75% GSM; 25% CDMA

Mobile Voice calls: 3c/min (avg); SMS: 2c/message

In India, calling party pays for calls. There is no charge for receiving SMSes.

GPRS-enabled phone: $80+

GPRS Tariff: $8+/month for 100 MB download (plans vary across operators)

Mobile VAS: $90 million; growing at 40%

Mobile ARPU: $8.50 [Split: Voice: 70%; Rentals: 20%; VAS: 10%]

Mobile VAS Split: Person-to-Person SMS, Caller Line Identification, Roaming: 70%; Content: 30%

Content: Ringtones, Ringback Tones, Games, Wallpapers, Interactive Voice Response, Person-to-App SMS

Content Providers get about 10-30% of revenue for their content

(For easy conversion: $1 = Rs 45; $1 million = Rs 4.5 crore)

There’s a treasure trove of information, right here in these statistics… for those who are seeking an opportunity, that is.  But, the key will be to analyze the market well, make the right assumptions, and plunge in it with all you have.  Mere half-hearted (read: safe) efforts will not work.

Ever so often, organizations and entrepreneurs alike, have bet their monies on a part of this exciting growth-sphere, only to find themselves engaged in more and more brand-building, instead of first building the category.  Personally, I have seen this to be true of media as diverse as mobile telephony and FM radio, at least in the Indian context. 

Circa 1999, private cellular providers did not realize this when they first started carving out a brand positioning for themselves, without, first, educating consumers about how a mobile phone would benefit them.  Five years later, with the privatisation of FM radio, once again, history repeated itself.  In fact, till date (and over 3 years since the opening up of the radio space), most radio stations in Mumbai still sound the same as any other, and have yet to invest in building the category to truly leverage the unique advantages, the medium has to offer!

The way I see it, once again, we stand at the brink of a revolution. 

If you have access to a computer and are familiar with the Internet, have you ever used Wikipedia or taken note of the increase in blogs, lately?  Have you heard of geeky stuff like RSS, XML, news aggregators (both, personal and public!)?  Have you paid any attention to some of the features in the latest smartphones and pocket pcs, or are you still living with the notion that a mobile phone is about making phone calls?!

Any day now, some of us may chuck well-paying middle/senior management positions to take the entrepreneurial plunge, or associate themselves with an exciting new venture.  Some of us may already be in such an organization, brainstorming with their teams to develop the next BIG idea.  While, for others, the wave will just be another news story…. after the wave has subsided. 

Coz, some of us, all we can do is talk about the revolution.